31 Jan 2007 08:39:59
George W Harris
ACC Power Ratings Through Tuesday, January 30th

Below are power ratings for ACC men's
basketball games considering only the scores
of games between conference members through
Tuesday, January 30th. The first rating
takes margin of victory fully into account,
while the third rating ignores it completely,
looking only at wins and losses. The second
rating is like the first rating, except it
weighs close games, upsets and games between
closely-matched teams more heavily than blow-
outs of overmatched teams. The third rating
only considers wins and losses. Finally, we
have a rating of schedule difficulty; the
first column is the total record of the teams
played only once, the second column is the
road record of teams not played at home plus
the home record of teams not played on the
road, and finally is a list of games not on
the schedule, so a poor record indicates a
tough schedule.

Rating One

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)UNC 5-1 2-0 19-2 88.9 1)81.1 2) 7.8 1)88.3
2)Duke 5-2 2-1 18-3 79.8 9)69.6 1)10.2 2)79.5
3)Va Tech 6-1 3-0 16-5 76.5 4)75.9 4) 0.5 3)76.1
4)Virginia 5-2 2-0 13-6 76.3 3)76.3 6) 0.0 4)75.8
5)Clemson 4-4 2-2 18-4 75.3 8)72.3 3) 3.0 5)75.2
6)BC 6-2 2-0 14-6 75.0 5)74.7 5) 0.3 6)74.5
7)FSU 4-4 0-1 16-6 74.2 2)77.1 8)-2.90 7)72.5
8)Ga Tech 2-6 0-1 13-8 70.08 7)74.19 10)-4.1 8)71.5
9)Maryland 2-5 0-1 16-6 69.54 6)74.23 12)-4.7 9)71.1
10)Wake 2-7 1-3 10-11 65.2 11)67.9 7)-2.6 12)63.0
11)NCSU 1-5 1-4 11-8 64.8 12)67.7 9)-2.94 11)64.2
12)Miami 2-5 1-3 9-12 64.7 10)69.2 11)-4.5 10)64.4

Home Court Advantage: 2.7 (2.2)

Rating Two

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)UNC 5-1 2-0 19-2 86.7 1)83.3 2) 3.5 1)86.0
2)Duke 5-2 2-1 18-3 78.0 10)68.7 1) 9.3 2)77.8
3)Va Tech 6-1 3-0 16-5 77.5 3)76.4 5) 1.2 3)77.2
4)Virginia 5-2 2-0 13-6 76.6 6)74.24 4) 2.4 4)76.0
5)Clemson 4-4 2-2 18-4 75.2 8)72.0 3) 3.3 5)75.1
6)BC 6-2 2-0 14-6 75.0 5)75.2 6)-0.3 6)74.4
7)FSU 4-4 0-1 16-6 73.9 2)77.1 9)-3.1 7)72.7
8)Maryland 2-5 0-1 16-6 70.45 7)74.22 11)-3.8 8)71.8
9)Ga Tech 2-6 0-1 13-8 70.40 4)75.7 12)-5.3 9)71.8
10)Miami 2-5 1-3 9-12 66.9 11)68.6 7)-1.7 10)66.7
11)NCSU 1-5 1-4 11-8 66.6 9)70.3 10)-3.6 11)65.9
12)Wake 2-7 1-3 10-11 66.2 12)68.0 8)-1.8 12)63.4

Home Court Advantage: 3.0 (2.4)

Rating Three

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Prev
1)UNC 5-1 2-0 19-2 86.9 1)85.6
2)Va Tech 6-1 3-0 16-5 86.3 2)85.5
3)Virginia 5-2 2-0 13-6 81.9 3)80.8
4)BC 6-2 2-0 14-6 79.9 4)79.0
5)Duke 5-2 2-1 18-3 77.4 5)77.4
6)Clemson 4-4 2-2 18-4 74.2 6)73.9
7)FSU 4-4 0-1 16-6 71.2 7)70.2
8)Ga Tech 2-6 0-1 13-8 66.1 8)68.0
9)Maryland 2-5 0-1 16-6 65.8 9)67.8
10)Miami 2-5 1-3 9-12 64.2 10)64.5
11)Wake 2-7 1-3 10-11 63.8 12)61.0
12)NCSU 1-5 1-4 11-8 62.6 11)62.2

Home Court Advantage: 6.8 (5.9)

Relative Schedules

BostonC 17-26 10-11 Ga Tech,NCSU,Wake,@Maryland,@UNC,@Virginia
Va Tech 19-28 7-15 Duke,FSU,Ga Tech,@Clemson,@Maryland,@Wake
Miami 19-23 9-13 Clemson,Maryland,UNC,@Duke,@Ga Tech,@NCSU
Duke 20-24 12-9 Miami,NCSU,Virginia,@FSU,@Va Tech,@Wake
NC State 23-23 10-13 FSU,Ga Tech,Miami,@BC,@Clemson,@Duke
Clemson 21-21 12-9 NCSU,Va Tech,Wake,@Miami,@UNC,@Virginia
UNC 23-22 12-12 BC,Clemson,Maryland,@FSU,@Miami,@Virginia
Maryland 23-22 12-11 BC,Va Tech,Wake,@Ga Tech,@Miami,@UNC
Ga Tech 22-20 10-12 Maryland,Miami,Virginia,@BC,@NCSU,@Va Tech
FSU 24-18 10-11 Duke,UNC,Virginia,@NCSU,@Va Tech,@Wake
Virginia 26-19 15-8 BC,Clemson,UNC,@Duke,@FSU,@Ga Tech
Wake 27-18 13-8 Duke,FSU,Va Tech,@BC,@Clemson,@Maryland

Recent Games

Tuesday, January 30th
Maryland at Florida State
Rating1: Maryland 75 FSU 79
Rating2: Maryland 75 FSU 79
Rating3: FSU by ~8
Result: Maryland 79 FSU 96
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest
Rating1: Ga Tech 76 Wake 70
Rating2: Ga Tech 76 Wake 70
Rating3: Ga Tech by ~1
Result: Ga Tech 75 Wake 85

Results (W-L, Root Mean Square), immediate and cumulative

Rating1: 1-1 (0.500), 14.1; 20-9 (0.690), 13.5
Rating2: 1-1 (0.500), 14.1; 20-9 (0.690), 13.7
Rating3: 1-1 (0.500), 10.0; 20-9 (0.690), 15.3

Upcoming Games

Wednesday, January 31st
Miami at UNC
Rating1: Miami 60 UNC 87
Rating2: Miami 64 UNC 87
Rating3: UNC by ~29
NC State at Virginia Tech
Rating1: NC State 66 Va Tech 80
Rating2: NC State 68 Va Tech 82
Rating3: Va Tech by ~30

Comments: A couple of real potential snoozers tonight.

--
"If you take cranberries and stew them like applesauce, they taste more like
prunes than rhubarb does" -Groucho Marx

George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'


01 Feb 2007 05:30:31
Jason Bell
Re: ACC Power Ratings Through Tuesday, January 30th



George W Harris wrote:

> Upcoming Games
>
> Wednesday, January 31st
> NC State at Virginia Tech
> Rating1: NC State 66 Va Tech 80
> Rating2: NC State 68 Va Tech 82
> Rating3: Va Tech by ~30
>
> Comments: A couple of real potential snoozers tonight.
>

Well, George, something here certainly seems to be malfunctioning.

- Jason Bell



01 Feb 2007 08:20:47
George W Harris
Re: ACC Power Ratings Through Tuesday, January 30th

On Thu, 01 Feb 2007 05:30:31 -0500, Jason Bell <Jason_Bell@mail.com >
wrote:

:
:
:George W Harris wrote:
:
: > Upcoming Games
: >
: > Wednesday, January 31st
: > NC State at Virginia Tech
: > Rating1: NC State 66 Va Tech 80
: > Rating2: NC State 68 Va Tech 82
: > Rating3: Va Tech by ~30
: >
: > Comments: A couple of real potential snoozers tonight.
: >
:
:Well, George, something here certainly seems to be malfunctioning.

Can't say as I'm particularly bothered by that.
:
:- Jason Bell
--
Never give a loaded gun to a woman in labor.

George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'.


01 Feb 2007 13:57:42
Donnie Barnes
Re: ACC Power Ratings Through Tuesday, January 30th

On Thu, 01 Feb, George W Harris wrote:
> On Thu, 01 Feb 2007 05:30:31 -0500, Jason Bell <Jason_Bell@mail.com>
> wrote:
>:George W Harris wrote:
>:
>:> Upcoming Games
>:>
>:> Wednesday, January 31st
>:> NC State at Virginia Tech
>:> Rating1: NC State 66 Va Tech 80
>:> Rating2: NC State 68 Va Tech 82
>:> Rating3: Va Tech by ~30
>:>
>:> Comments: A couple of real potential snoozers tonight.
>:>
>:
>:Well, George, something here certainly seems to be malfunctioning.
>
> Can't say as I'm particularly bothered by that.

Me either! My alma mater wins *and* my favorite team takes sole possession
of first because of it!

And I said before the UNC game that taking UNC and the points (spreads were
around 25) would be a good thing to do. Wow, was it ever! (Not that I bet
on college sports, but if I did I would have made money on the Arizona game
and this game for sure).


--Donnie

--
Donnie Barnes http://www.donniebarnes.com 879. V.