14 Feb 2009 22:14:36
George W Harris
ACC Power Ratings Through Saturday, February 14th

Below are power ratings for ACC men's
basketball games considering only the scores
of games between conference members through
Saturday, February 14th. The first rating
takes margin of victory fully into account,
while the third rating ignores it completely,
looking only at wins and losses. The second
rating is like the first rating, except it
weighs close games, upsets and games between
closely-matched teams more heavily than blow-
outs of overmatched teams. The third rating
only considers wins and losses. Finally, we
have a rating of schedule difficulty; the
first column is the total record of the teams
played only once, the second column is the
road record of teams not played at home plus
the home record of teams not played on the
road, and finally is a list of games not on
the schedule, so a poor record indicates a
tough schedule.

Rating One

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)UNC 8-2 4-1 22-2 84.8 1)89.4 12)-4.6 1)84.4
2)Duke 7-3 2-1 20-4 81.3 8)71.2 1)10.1 2)81.2
3)Clemson 6-3 3-2 20-3 79.6 4)74.6 2) 4.9 3)79.4
4)Wake 6-4 2-1 19-4 77.7 2)77.8 4)-0.1 4)75.6
5)Miami 4-6 1-2 15-8 73.7 5)74.1 5)-0.4 6)73.3
6)FSU 6-4 3-2 19-6 73.1 10)68.4 3) 4.7 5)74.8
7)BC 6-5 4-3 18-8 71.75 7)73.5 8)-1.8 8)71.3
8)Va Tech 6-4 2-1 16-8 71.72 3)75.7 11)-4.0 7)72.5
9)NCSU 4-6 1-2 14-9 70.5 6)73.7 9)-3.2 9)68.6
10)Maryland 5-5 1-1 16-8 68.9 9)70.1 6)-1.2 10)68.0
11)Ga Tech 1-10 0-5 10-14 65.4 12)66.7 7)-1.3 11)66.8
12)Virginia 1-8 1-3 7-13 64.6 11)67.9 10)-3.3 12)64.9

Home Court Advantage: 2.0 (1.7)

Rating Two

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)UNC 8-2 4-1 22-2 83.6 1)89.8 12)-6.2 1)83.2
2)Clemson 6-3 3-2 20-3 79.5 6)74.9 3) 4.7 2)79.3
3)Duke 7-3 2-1 20-4 79.3 9)70.6 1) 8.6 3)79.1
4)Wake 6-4 2-1 19-4 76.8 2)76.73 5) 0.1 4)75.4
5)Miami 4-6 1-2 15-8 74.8 4)75.2 7)-0.4 6)74.3
6)FSU 6-4 3-2 19-6 74.1 11)68.4 2) 5.7 5)75.2
7)Va Tech 6-4 2-1 16-8 73.2 3)76.65 9)-3.5 7)74.0
8)BC 6-5 4-3 18-8 72.9 7)73.2 6)-0.3 8)72.4
9)NCSU 4-6 1-2 14-9 71.5 5)75.1 10)-3.6 9)69.9
10)Maryland 5-5 1-1 16-8 70.9 10)69.5 4) 1.4 10)69.8
11)Ga Tech 1-10 0-5 10-14 66.4 12)67.7 8)-1.4 11)67.6
12)Virginia 1-8 1-3 7-13 66.0 8)71.0 11)-5.0 12)66.2

Home Court Advantage: 1.7 (1.5)

Rating Three

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Prev
1)UNC 8-2 4-1 22-2 83.9 1)83.4
2)Clemson 6-3 3-2 20-3 80.0 2)79.9
3)Duke 7-3 2-1 20-4 79.8 3)79.6
4)Wake 6-4 2-1 19-4 77.8 6)76.5
5)FSU 6-4 3-2 19-6 75.9 5)76.9
6)Va Tech 6-4 2-1 16-8 75.8 4)77.5
7)BC 6-5 4-3 18-8 74.8 7)74.6
8)Miami 4-6 1-2 15-8 72.7 8)72.3
9)Maryland 5-5 1-1 16-8 71.4 10)69.5
10)NCSU 4-6 1-2 14-9 70.8 9)69.8
11)Virginia 1-8 1-3 7-13 61.8 11)61.9
12)Ga Tech 1-10 0-5 10-14 58.4 12)59.0

Home Court Advantage: 3.2 (2.7)

Relative Schedules

Duke 22-38 13-15 BC,Clemson,Ga Tech,@Miami,@NCSU,@Virginia
Miami 27-32 14-16 Duke,Ga Tech,Virginia,@Clemson,@Va Tech,@Wake
Virginia 28-34 12-17 Duke,Ga Tech,NCSU,@BC,@Miami,@Wake
Va Tech 28-33 12-19 Maryland,Miami,Wake,@Ga Tech,@NCSU,@UNC
FSU 30-32 16-16 BC,NCSU,Wake,@Ga Tech,@Maryland,@UNC
UNC 31-30 13-18 FSU,Va Tech,Wake,@BC,@Clemson,@Ga Tech
Wake 30-29 14-17 Maryland,Miami,Virginia,@FSU,@UNC,@Va Tech
NC State 31-27 14-12 Clemson,Duke,Va Tech,@FSU,@Maryland,@Virginia
Ga Tech 32-27 17-12 FSU,UNC,Va Tech,@Duke,@Miami,@Virginia
Clemson 34-27 21-11 BC,Miami,UNC,@Duke,@Maryland,@NCSU
Maryland 34-26 17-12 Clemson,FSU,NCSU,@BC,@Va Tech,@Wake
BostonC 33-25 17-15 Maryland,UNC,Virginia,@Clemson,@Duke,@FSU

Recent Games

Saturday, February 14th
NC State @ Georgia Tech
Rating1: NC State 73 Ga Tech 72
Rating2: NC State 74 Ga Tech 73
Rating3: NC State by ~8
Result: NC State 86 Ga Tech 65
Florida State @ Wake Forest
Rating1: FSU 69 Wake 71
Rating2: FSU 68 Wake 70
Rating3: Wake by ~2
Result: FSU 63 Wake 86
Virginia Tech @ Maryland
Rating1: Va Tech 76 Maryland 74
Rating2: Va Tech 74 Maryland 71
Rating3: Va Tech by ~5
Result: Va Tech 73 Maryland 83

Records (RMS), Immediate and Cumulative

Rating1: 2-1 (18.1), 28-18 (14.5)
Rating2: 2-1 (18.3), 29-17 (14.1)
Rating3: 2-1 (16.7), 27-19 (16.9)

Upcoming Games

Sunday, February 15th
Clemson @ Virginia
Rating1: Clemson 77 Virginia 64
Rating2: Clemson 79 Virginia 67
Rating3: Clemson by ~15
Duke @ Boston College
Rating1: Duke 72 BC 64
Rating2: Duke 70 BC 65
Rating3: Duke by ~2
UNC @ Miami
Rating1: UNC 89 Miami 80
Rating2: UNC 89 Miami 82
Rating3: UNC by ~8

--
Doesn't the fact that there are *exactly* 50 states seem a little suspicious?

George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'


15 Feb 2009 13:50:29
Father Guido Sarducci
Re: ACC Power Ratings Through Saturday, February 14th

In message news:m42fp4higm992lf89h6i2k6n5n3mkf5q5c@4ax.com, George W Harris
<gharrus@mundsprung.com > said:

> Result: Va Tech 73 Maryland 83

Does NOBODY want the second seed?


15 Feb 2009 14:35:26
Donnie Barnes
Re: ACC Power Ratings Through Saturday, February 14th

On Sun, 15 Feb, Father Guido Sarducci wrote:
> In message news:m42fp4higm992lf89h6i2k6n5n3mkf5q5c@4ax.com, George W Harris
><gharrus@mundsprung.com> said:
>
>> Result: Va Tech 73 Maryland 83
>
> Does NOBODY want the second seed?

I would say no.


--Donnie

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