26 Feb 2006 21:21:24
George W Harris
ACC Power Ratings Through February 25th, 2006

Below are power ratings for ACC men's
basketball games considering only the scores
of games between conference members through
Saturday, February 22nd. The first rating
takes margin of victory fully into account,
while the third rating ignores it completely,
looking only at wins and losses. The second
rating is like the first rating, except it
weighs close games, upsets and games between
closely-matched teams more heavily than blow-
outs of overmatched teams. The third rating
only considers wins and losses. Finally, we
have a rating of schedule difficulty; the
first column is the total record of the teams
played only once, the second column is the
road record of teams not played at home plus
the home record of teams not played on the
road, and finally is a list of games not on
the schedule, so a poor record indicates a
tough schedule.

Rating One

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)Duke 14-0 7-0 27-1 83.1 1)84.3 9)-1.3 1)83.0
2)UNC 9-4 6-3 18-6 78.5 2)78.4 7) 0.1 2)78.5
3)NCSU 10-5 4-2 21-7 75.7 3)76.4 8)-0.7 3)76.1
4)Miami 7-7 3-3 15-12 73.8 8)70.1 1) 3.7 4)73.7
5)BC 9-5 5-2 22-6 73.5 7)70.4 3) 3.1 6)72.8
6)FSU 7-7 2-2 17-7 72.6 4)76.0 10)-3.4 5)73.3
7)Va Tech 4-10 2-5 13-13 70.6 11)67.6 4) 3.0 8)69.9
8)Virginia 7-7 1-1 14-11 70.4 12)67.2 2) 3.2 7)72.1
9)Clemson 5-9 1-3 16-11 70.1 10)68.66 5) 1.5 10)68.5
10)Maryland 6-7 1-2 16-10 69.7 5)74.0 11)-4.3 9)69.7
11)Ga Tech 4-11 0-4 11-15 68.9 9)68.69 6) 0.2 11)68.1
12)Wake 2-12 0-5 14-14 67.0 6)72.1 12)-5.1 12)67.6

Home Court Advantage: 3.0 (2.4)

Rating Two

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)Duke 14-0 7-0 27-1 82.1 1)85.0 9)-2.9 1)82.0
2)UNC 9-4 6-3 18-6 78.2 2)78.5 7)-0.3 2)78.1
3)NCSU 10-5 4-2 21-7 75.8 3)77.0 8)-1.2 3)76.0
4)Miami 7-7 3-3 15-12 73.8 8)70.0 2) 3.7 4)73.7
5)BC 9-5 5-2 22-6 73.6 7)70.4 4) 3.2 6)73.2
6)FSU 7-7 2-2 17-7 72.9 4)76.6 10)-3.7 5)73.6
7)Virginia 7-7 1-1 14-11 71.5 12)67.46 1) 4.0 7)72.7
8)Clemson 5-9 1-3 16-11 71.10 9)69.4 5) 1.7 10)69.7
9)Va Tech 4-10 2-5 13-13 71.06 11)67.53 3) 3.5 9)70.3
10)Maryland 6-7 1-2 16-10 70.9 5)75.3 11)-4.4 8)70.8
11)Ga Tech 4-11 0-4 11-15 69.1 10)68.2 6) 0.9 12)68.5
12)Wake 2-12 0-5 14-14 68.1 6)72.7 12)-4.6 11)68.6

Home Court Advantage: 2.4 (1.9)

Rating Three

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Prev
1)Duke 14-0 7-0 27-1 93.6 1)95.8
2)UNC 9-4 6-3 18-6 80.0 3)80.5
3)NCSU 10-5 4-2 21-7 78.3 2)81.0
4)BC 9-5 5-2 22-6 78.1 4)76.6
5)Miami 7-7 3-3 15-12 73.8 5)74.2
6)Maryland 6-7 1-2 16-10 71.52 8)71.8
7)Virginia 7-7 1-1 14-11 71.45 6)72.7
8)FSU 7-7 2-2 17-7 71.2 7)72.4
9)Clemson 5-9 1-3 16-11 66.8 9)65.7
10)Va Tech 4-10 2-5 13-13 66.3 10)64.8
11)Ga Tech 4-11 0-4 11-15 64.0 11)63.3
12)Wake 2-12 0-5 14-14 58.9 12)57.8

Home Court Advantage: 5.0 (5.0)

Relative Schedules

UNC 31-54 16-26 FSU,Va Tech,Wake,@BC,@Clemson,@Ga Tech
Miami 36-49 16-26 Ga Tech,Duke,Virginia,@Clemson,@Va Tech,@Wake
Maryland 37-48 15-26 Clemson,FSU,NCSU,@BC,@Va Tech,@Wake
Va Tech 38-46 17-25 Maryland,Miami,Wake,@Ga Tech,@NCSU,@UNC
FSU 40-44 21-22 BC,NCSU,Wake,@Ga Tech,@Maryland,@UNC
Wake 40-42 15-25 Maryland,Miami,Virginia,@FSU,@UNC,@Va Tech
Duke 42-44 22-22 BC,Clemson,Ga Tech,@Miami,@NCSU,@Virginia
NC State 43-40 26-16 Clemson,Duke,Va Tech,@FSU,@Maryland,@Virginia
Virginia 46-40 21-20 Duke,Ga Tech,NCSU,@BC,@Miami,@Wake
Ga Tech 48-35 27-15 FSU,UNC,Va Tech,@Duke,@Miami,@Virginia
BostonC 48-34 24-17 Maryland,UNC,Virginia,@Clemson,@Duke,@FSU
Clemson 55-28 32-12 BC,Miami,UNC,@Duke,@Maryland,@NCSU

Recent Games

Saturday, February 25th
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech
Rating1: Wake 72 Ga Tech 75
Rating2: Wake 72 Ga Tech 74
Rating3: Ga Tech by ~11
Result: Wake 61 Ga Tech 76
Virginia at Clemson
Rating1: Virginia 64 Clemson 63
Rating2: Virginia 64 Clemson 63
Rating3: Virginia by ~2
Result: Virginia 64 Clemson 90
Boston College at NC State
Rating1: BC 69 NC State 75
Rating2: BC 69 NC State 74
Rating3: NC State by ~9
Result: BC 74 NC State 72
Florida State at Virginia Tech
Rating1: FSU 74 Va Tech 73
Rating2: FSU 75 Va Tech 73
Rating3: FSU by ~3
Result: FSU 61 Va Tech 72

Records (RMS), Immediate and Cumulative

Rating1: 1-3 (16.4), 39-23 (11.0)
Rating2: 1-3 (16.7), 39-23 (10.8)
Rating3: 1-3 (16.7), 41-21 (14.7)

Upcoming Games

Sunday, February 26
Maryland at UNC
Rating1: Maryland 72 UNC 84
Rating2: Maryland 74 UNC 84
Rating3: UNC by ~13
--
"It is always a simple matter to drag people along whether it is a
democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist
dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the
bidding of the leaders. This is easy. All you have to do is tell them
they are being attacked, and denounce the pacifists for lack of
patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same in every
country."
-Hermann Goering

George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'.